The Biggest Earnings Surprise (Not What You Think)

Ross Givens
Ross Givens Ross Givens is a veteran trader with over 15 years of experi...
March 27, 2026 | 2 min read
The Biggest Earnings Surprise (Not What You Think)

Wall Street is more interested in Nvidia’s earnings later today than Trump’s firing of Fed governor Lisa Cook.

Nvidia is likely the most influential stock in the world right now, so I can’t say I’m surprised.

Speaking of earnings, here’s a quick question:

Which sector do you think surprised the market the most during the latest earnings season?

If you said tech… you would be wrong.

Take a look below.

Chart of the Day

Source: @YardeniResearch via X

This chart shows what percentage of each sector reported an earnings surprise – i.e. earnings above expectations – for the recent earnings season.

As you can see, the sector with the highest level of positive earnings surprises was consumer discretionary – not tech.

If you go deeper, this makes sense.

For months now, sentiment surveys have shown consumer confidence steadily falling…

So it’s no surprise that expectations of the consumer discretionary sector were so low…

Especially when you factor in all the doom and gloom being constantly peddled by the clickbait media.

Remember, in the markets, expectations don’t always match the underlying reality.

And in fact, we don’t want them to…

Because this mismatch is how opportunities are created.

I elaborate more below.

P.S. Yesterday evening, I released my latest edition of 2 Trades in 2 Minutes – completely free. If you missed it, it’s probably because you weren’t on the SMS list. Text the word “trade” to 87858 to get on the list, and ensure you’ll get the next edition instantly when it’s out.

Insight of the Day

Earnings releases can cause big price moves because they “reset” expectations.

But expectations are always subjective – inevitably influenced by the media and overall sentiment.

While earnings numbers are purely objective – cold hard numbers. They’re reality.

When earnings numbers are released, the market compares them to the expectations.

If there’s a big mismatch, the expectations are effectively “reset”.

And since the market trades on expectations, a big “reset” also causes big price moves.

That’s the opportunity.

And if you know which direction those expectations could be “reset” in…

You can easily exploit this opportunity.

Nvidia’s earnings later today could cause a big “reset” in expectations not just for its stock…

But for the ENTIRE market.

That’s how important it is.

And that’s why later this afternoon at 3 p.m. Eastern…

I’m hosting a LIVE briefing ahead of Nvidia’s earnings call…

To show you exactly how a select group of traders are exploiting earnings releases to make trades that even Wall Street can’t beat.

I’m talking about the corporate insiders…

Those who already know what the numbers are going to say before anyone else does…

And are legally trading on this information thanks to an SEC loophole.

In my live briefing later, I’m going to show you my exact strategy for mirroring these insider moves…

A strategy we’ve used to find wins of 771% in two months…157% in two weeks… even 321% in two days…

Plus, I’ll also hand you the details of three stocks insiders are loading up on right now.

So click here to guarantee your seat for my live briefing if you haven’t yet…

And I’ll see you later this afternoon at 3 p.m. ET.

P.S. If you’re planning to attend on a mobile device, make sure you download the presentation app now so you don’t miss anything when it starts. See you there.

iOS: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/goto/id1465614785 

Android: https://play.google.com/store/search?q=goto&c=apps

Customer Story of the Day

“Life changing! Literally.

I immediately realized within a week how great and low risk Ross's strategies are!”

Ross Givens
Editor, Stock Surge Daily

Ross Givens

Written by

Ross Givens Chief Market Strategist

Ross Givens is a veteran trader with over 15 years of experience and a former VP at a major Wall Street investment bank. Specializing in small-cap stocks and momentum-driven plays, Ross identifies high-probability setups before they hit the mainstream. As Lead Strategist at Traders Agency, he has guided hundreds of successful trades and developed multiple flagship publications.

Join the Edge

Stop watching.
Start winning.

50,000+ traders get our daily brief before the market opens.

Free. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

Traders Agency What Customers Say
4.8
1,275
4.7
686
Hi, I'm GENTSY