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Ross Givens

Stock Trader & Educator

Insidious Trading Trap

Hey friend, The only big news today is the monthly US federal budget – and another big deficit. Next week, we get the pivotal Consumer Price Index data The Daily Direction Note: All indexes closed higher yesterday but opened lower today. Nevertheless, all directions are firmly in the green. The Daily Nugget The market doesn’t owe anyone “should”. One of the most dangerous words in the market is the….
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Weekly Trading Tips

When It Doesn’t “Feel” Bullish

Hey friend, We got the weekly jobless claims numbers this morning, which showed a dip from last week and came in below expectations. Also, the contraction in first-quarter GDP proved to be significantly worse than expected – coming in at –0.5% compared to the expected –0.2%. Let’s see how the markets have been moving. The Daily Direction Note: All indexes flat or lower yesterday. But they opened higher this….
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Risk-On Behavior

Hey, Ross here: I’ve been talking a lot about the market’s strength lately. Today, let’s look at a chart that shows why the market is firmly in “risk on” mode. Chart of the Day There are plenty of headlines talking about Nvidia – a dominant market leader – hitting new all-time highs. And while that’s noteworthy, I wanted to bring you something a little different. The above chart is….
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Hiding in Plain Sight

Hey friend, The only piece of economic data this morning was new home sales… Which showed a huge slump in May – sending supply to a 3-year high. Let’s see how markets have been moving. The Daily Direction Note: All indexes closed higher yesterday. And while they opened higher this morning, they’ve been inching lower. No change in any index directions. The Daily Nugget Market strength often hides in….
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A Clear Sign of Market Strength

Hey, Ross here: The situation in the Middle East is shifting by the day. The headlines can barely keep up. But in the markets? It’s a different story. The strength is clear. Chart of the Day This is the Nasdaq 100 hitting a new all-time high yesterday. From when it started dropping in February, it took just 86 trading days for it to reclaim a new high. That’s the….
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Trader, Don’t Let This Mess With Your Head

Hey friend, We got more consumer confidence data this morning, which showed a sharp pullback in the consumer confidence numbers. Fed Chair Powell also testified to the House Financial Services Committee, where he defended his interest rate policy. The Daily Direction Note: All indexes closed higher yesterday and opened sharply higher this morning as well. All the directions for the Dow Jones flipped back upward. The Daily Nugget Don’t….
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This is What’s Supporting the Market

Hey, Ross here: Markets rose yesterday despite the US’ Iran strike. As I said in yesterday’s newsletter, most traders would be surprised – and I was right. Here’s one chart that can help explain why. Chart of the Day This is the NFCI – the Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions. I’ve talked about it a couple times before. It’s basically a measure of how loose or tight monetary conditions….
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This is When the Best Opportunities Disappear

Hey friend, This morning we got some services and manufacturing data, which showed continued expansion that was ahead of analyst estimates. We also got some home sales numbers, which showed a rise in May – despite economists expecting a drop. On the economic front, the most impactful data release this week will be the PCE Index – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – on Friday. The Daily Direction Note:….
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Ready for a Market Surprise?

Hey, Ross here: Welcome back to a new trading week. The biggest news over the weekend was the U.S. entering the Israel-Iran conflict by directly bombing suspected Iranian nuclear sites. This will heighten uncertainty in the markets… And make the bears even more vocal. So, to start the day, let’s look at a counterintuitive chart that shows why the actual effects on the stock market may not be what….
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This is Where Most Traders Lose Focus

Hey friend, We got some manufacturing data and leading economic indicators this morning – both of which remained largely unchanged from last month. The Daily Direction Note: All indexes closed largely flat on “Fed day”. And while they all opened markedly higher this morning, they’ve been trending downwards through the day. No change in any index directions. The Daily Nugget The chop is where most traders lose focus. Whipsaw….
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These Traders are Deranged

Hey, Ross here: In case you were wondering where this newsletter went yesterday, stock markets were closed for Juneteenth, so this was on a short break as well. The Fed held rates steady on Wednesday, as widely expected, continuing their “wait and see” stance. What was most surprising is that markets actually closed flat, instead of dipping like they normally do when Powell speaks. Now I’ve been talking a….
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Forget the Magnificent 7 – these 3 stocks are poised for HUGE moves in the next leg of the AI boom. Wall Street veteran Ross Givens just revealed the details…

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