Still Clinging on to This Crowded Trade?

Ross Givens
Ross Givens Ross Givens is a veteran trader with over 15 years of experi...
July 16, 2026 | 2 min read
A bird's-eye view of an overcrowded lifeboat or raft on dark, choppy waters, with too many people crammed together and the vessel visibly sinking lower under the weight. The image captures the tension between those desperately clinging to their spots and the churning, uncertain waters surrounding them. This metaphor powerfully conveys the danger of staying in an overcrowded trade as momentum deteriorates and the market reaches a potential top.

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Hey, Ross here:

Semiconductor stocks have pulled back 15% from their recent peak.

As a whole, they’re still up nearly 70% for the year.

So it’s no surprise that, even as it looks like momentum continues to deteriorate…

People are still clinging on to them.

Chart of the Day

still-clinging-on-to-this-crowded-trade

This chart shows the results of Bank of America’s survey of fund managers – aka the “smart money”.

And as you can see…

Despite the selloff in semiconductor stocks…

82% of fund managers still rank them as the most crowded trade in July.

In fact, the numbers are even higher compared to May and June – before the selloff began.

Now let’s keep in mind that this is just an opinion of what they think the most crowded trade is.

In other words, where they think other fund managers are putting their money.

And if everybody thinks the trade is crowded (which is not a good thing)

It stands to reason that a lot of them are already shifting their money out.

The question is – where to?

Well, take a look at another fund manager survey below.

still-clinging-on-to-this-crowded-trade

It shows which sectors the “smart money” is bullish or bearish on for the next 30 days.

While everybody and the entire news media is seemingly focused on tech and memory stocks…

Healthcare has emerged as the top sector the “smart money” is most bullish on.

Here’s what that tells us.

Insight of the Day

Surveys can tell you where to look. But price tells you when to act.

Fund managers may be souring on semiconductors.

And they may be turning bullish on healthcare.

That gives us a clue.

But it does not give us a trade.

Fund managers can talk up a sector for weeks before their money actually moves in.

So I’m not buying healthcare just because it topped a survey.

I want price to prove it.

The survey points me toward the opportunity.

The chart tells me when it’s ready.

That’s why tomorrow morning…

I’ll be sharing exactly what you want to be looking for on a chart to target these explosive opportunities…

So keep an eye out for that.

In the meantime, click here to see what the “smart money” has been buying before the Anthropic IPO.

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As a lifetime private trading club member I would Highly, Highly recommend TA to anybody, and I have recommended it to several of my friends and family.”

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Ross Givens
Editor, Stock Surge Daily

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Ross Givens

Written by

Ross Givens Chief Market Strategist

Ross Givens is a veteran trader with over 15 years of experience and a former VP at a major Wall Street investment bank. Specializing in small-cap stocks and momentum-driven plays, Ross identifies high-probability setups before they hit the mainstream. As Lead Strategist at Traders Agency, he has guided hundreds of successful trades and developed multiple flagship publications.

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