S&P 500 “Slingshot” In Progress?

Ross Givens
Ross Givens Ross Givens is a veteran trader with over 15 years of experi...
August 10, 2026 | 3 min read
A slingshot stretched taut against a dramatic financial chart backdrop, with the elastic band pulled back and ready to launch, symbolizing the market's powerful rebound potential. The foreground features the slingshot in sharp focus while a glowing upward-trending stock chart fills the background in green and gold tones. The tension in the stretched band visually captures the "snap back" energy of the market setup, creating an immediate sense of momentum and opportunity.

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Hey, Ross here:

Last month, the S&P 500 triggered one of the most bullish historical setups I’ve seen in a while.

It’s only happened 17 times since 1950…

And 16 of those times, stocks kept climbing the following quarter.

Take a look:

Chart of the Day

sp-500-slingshot-in-progress

Here’s the setup that caught my eye.

The S&P 500 fell 4.6% in Q1…

Then came roaring back 14.9% in Q2.

Since 1950, we’ve only seen that combination 17 times:

A down quarter…

Followed immediately by a gain of 10% or more.

And after 16 of those 17 setups, stocks kept climbing the following quarter.

That’s a 94% hit rate.

The average gain?

Another 6.7%.

You can see why some traders call it a “slingshot.”

The market gets yanked backwards…

Then snaps hard in the other direction.

Of course, nothing says history has to repeat this time.

But there’s another part of this rally that makes the setup even more interesting.

Look at small caps:

sp-500-slingshot-in-progress

For most of the past few years, the Russell 2000 has been the market’s punching bag.

Since 2023, small caps have repeatedly lagged the S&P 500 by one or even two standard deviations.

Now the rubber band has snapped the other way.

The Russell is outperforming the S&P by roughly 14.5% over the past year.

That’s about a two-standard-deviation move in favor of small caps.

So if this really is another S&P slingshot…

The best opportunities may not be in the giant stocks everyone already owns.

They may be much further down the market.

And that creates a completely different problem.

I explain below.

Insight of the Day

Small-caps create huge blind spots

Small caps can make monster moves.

That’s why so many traders – myself included – love them.

It takes a lot less buying to move a $500 million company than a $500 billion giant.

But the smaller you go…

The harder the research gets.

Apple has an army of analysts picking through every number.

A tiny company might have three – sometimes none.

There are fewer reports… less media coverage.

And far fewer people digging around for what might happen next.

That can create huge blind spots.

A small stock could have something important brewing beneath the surface…

While almost nobody on Wall Street is paying attention.

So if small caps really are starting to lead again, you need another way to find the most lucrative opportunities.

I’m going to share more about my powerful – yet controversial – “underground” strategy for targeting the most lucrative opportunities.

So make sure you keep an eye out for that.

In the meantime, have you heard of the massive window of opportunity that just opened up in gold?

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Signature

Ross Givens
Editor, Stock Surge Daily

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Ross Givens

Written by

Ross Givens Chief Market Strategist

Ross Givens is a veteran trader with over 15 years of experience and a former VP at a major Wall Street investment bank. Specializing in small-cap stocks and momentum-driven plays, Ross identifies high-probability setups before they hit the mainstream. As Lead Strategist at Traders Agency, he has guided hundreds of successful trades and developed multiple flagship publications.

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