Yesterday evening, President Trump announced a host of new reciprocal tariffs on multiple countries.
And in after-hours trading, indexes took a big hit.
Chart of the Day
I’m writing this newsletter about 2.5 hours before the market opens.
And right now, S&P 500 futures are down 3.6%, while Nasdaq-100 futures are down 3.9%.
They’ve both made up a bit of ground – S&P 500 futures dipped as low as 4% while Nasdaq-100 futures fell as low as 4.7%.
But make no mistake, the highest probability scenario right now is more short-term pain ahead.
I will be very surprised if markets end up closing higher for the week.
The good news? The sharpness of the selloff is likely also setting up an explosive recovery – once we take Trump’s tariff tactics into account.
Insight of the Day
The scale of Trump’s tariffs is almost guaranteed to bring every country to the negotiation table.
Look, I’ll always be the first to say I could be wrong.
And I certainly can’t read Trump’s mind.
But my bet is that there’s no way he’s leaving these tariffs on for very long – not at this scale.
These tariffs will force these countries to the negotiation table, so that an actual fair trade deal can be finally worked out after decades.
When that happens, I expect the recovery to be swift and strong – and catch many traders off guard.
On Monday evening, I went live for an emergency State of the Markets broadcast, where I shared all this…
Including my best market timing indicators for when we want to aggressively get back in.
If you missed my live broadcast, you can check out the limited-time replay here.
And if you want to see a strategy that will allow you to intelligently participate in this market – regardless of all the uncertainty – and before the recovery even happens…
Then please attend my LIVE training session tomorrow, Friday morning, at 11 a.m. Eastern.
I’ll show you a strategy that is largely “uncorrelated” to the whims of the broader market - including some of the top opportunities setting up right now.
Just click here to let me know you’re coming…
And I’ll see you live tomorrow morning at 11 a.m. ET.
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