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There’s still so much up in the air right now with the situation in the Middle East. But we’re seeing some moves that – at least on the surface – seem counterintuitive. Let’s look at some of them.
The headlines are all about Iran right now. It was the biggest news over the weekend and yet, I barely mentioned it in my newsletter yesterday. This wasn’t an oversight – it was deliberate.
Welcome to a new week and month. February was historically a choppy month for the markets – and this year was no different.
The strong bull market of the past few years has “trained” many people to just keep buying the dips. As a whole, that’s been a pretty good play. But when do you NOT want to buy the dip?
The strong bull market of the past few years has “trained” many people to just keep buying the dips. As a whole, that’s been a pretty good play. But when do you NOT want to buy the dip?
It’s the last week of what has been a very choppy, sideways February for the broader markets. I don’t expect that to change this week. But when we “slice” the market a bit more, a different picture emerges.
It’s the last week of what has been a very choppy, sideways February for the broader markets. I don’t expect that to change this week. But when we “slice” the market a bit more, a different picture emerges.
The market today isn’t the same as the AI-driven bull market of 2023–2024 (or even 2025). As I’ve been saying, we’re seeing a massive rotation in a “dispersed” market. To top all that off – as today’s chart shows – uncertainty is also at all-time highs.
Yesterday I talked about the dispersion we’re seeing in the markets, about how we’re seeing a sharp rise in BOTH winners and losers. Today’s chart shows just how stark that theme really is.
The market chop continues but the Feb 5 low continues to hold as support. Still, don’t expect this bumpy ride to end anytime soon, especially not with this strange paradox happening right now.
It’s got to be maddening to be an “S&P 500 only” index investor right now: the S&P has been stuck near its late-October highs, yet we’ve had a nearly unbroken run of net new highs with hundreds of stocks hitting fresh peaks, and about two-thirds of S&P 500 names outperforming the index. That’s rotation—mega-cap tech has cooled off and pulled the cap-weighted benchmark sideways, even while the “average” stock across large-, mid-, and small-caps keeps pushing higher. The key distinction is to not confuse the “stock market” with the “market of stocks”: the index is driven by a few giants, but the real opportunity is often in the broader list of stocks quietly making new highs underneath.
It’s Ross Givens here, with Chart of the Day. Entering 2024 with the wind at our backs. As history echoes this year’s double-digit market surge in the final two months, optimism prevails. Brace for a January and first-quarter boom, setting the stage for a promising year ahead. In my journey to navigate these gains, join me in unlocking the potential for a prosperous 2024. Together, let’s seize the opportunities ahead and make the most of the abundant gains on the horizon.
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