Hey friend,
Nothing much on the economic calendar this morning, just the U.S. trade balance.
The deficit came in at $105.6 billion – slightly above expectations, but significantly above last month’s numbers.
Let’s see how the markets have been moving.
The Daily Direction
Note: Indexes closed higher yesterday and gapped higher this morning as well. No change in any index directions.
The Daily Nugget
Strong markets can teach you bad habits.
When the market is strong, a lot of mistakes stop looking like mistakes.
You chase a stock a little too late…
And it keeps running.
You take a breakout that isn’t especially clean…
And buyers push it higher anyway.
You size up more than usual…
And the trade works before the extra risk ever becomes a problem.
Do that a few times and it’s easy to come away with the wrong lesson.
You start thinking the late entry was fine.
The mediocre setup was good enough.
The bigger position was justified.
But sometimes the trade worked despite those decisions, not because of them.
That’s one of the dangers of a strong market.
When the S&P and Nasdaq are breaking to new highs, a rising tide can bail out trades that probably wouldn’t survive in a tougher tape.
And if you judge every decision purely by whether it made money, those lucky wins can slowly lower your standards.
Then conditions change.
Follow-through disappears.
Breakouts start failing.
And suddenly the same habits that seemed harmless a few weeks earlier start costing real money.
So when a trade works, don’t just look at the profit.
Look at how you got there.
Was the entry where it should have been?
Was the setup clean?
Did the position size make sense?
Did you follow the plan?
A winner can still come from a bad decision.
And a strong market is one of the easiest places to forget that.
The goal is to build habits that still work when the market stops making everything look easy.
The Traders Agency Team
P.S. Did you hear that Anthropic’s secret IPO filing got leaked (the numbers are insane)?
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